Wednesday , 16 October 2019

BIKES OF THE 2018 ABSA CAPE EPIC – ALL THE STATS

 

The Absa Cape Epic is seen globally as the ultimate test in mountain bike stage racing. A combination of the world’s best racers, the potential for extreme weather conditions, rugged terrain and the high pressure that comes with a UCI HC race ranking, the annual eight day South African race is also seen as the ultimate testing ground for bicycles. In Part 3 of our annual TREAD Absa Cape Epic Survey, presented by Rush Sports and Maxxis Tyres, we look at the average bike value, most popular bike brands and more bike-related insight.

Of the 1 344 riders that entered the 2018 Cape Epic, a total of 1 223 took the rider survey. That’s 91%, which is an exceptionally large sample size. Here’s how their bike stats looked as well as some historical analysis…

Photo by Michal Červený.

Average bike value

Year
Rand value
% increase over previous year
Cost of US $1 on 31 March that year
2018
R97 145
3.03%
R11.84
2017
R94 286
23.97%
R13.29
2016
R76 052
25.18%
R14.71
2015
R60 752
35.19%
R12.12
2014
R44 937
6.37%
R10.58
2013
R42 244
4.69%
R9.24
2012
R40 349
7.56%
R7.69
2011
R37 510
4.49%
R6.84
2010
R35 898
4.91%
R7.39
2009
R34 215
11.59%
R9.72
2008
R30 659
R8.19

We include the Rand=US Dollar rate at 31 March for each year (the Cape Epic month) to add some perspective.

 While the average bike value edged closer to R100 000 for 2018, the increase is the lowest it’s been since the event began recording this statistic in 2008. It’s worth noting that the weakest the Rand has ever been against the Dollar was in January 2016 at 16.84.

 

 

Breakdown of bike value

Price bracket
2017
2018
Under R30 000
0%
0%
R30 000-R40 000
4%
3%
R40 000-R50 000
6%
5%
R50 000-R60 000
7%
7%
R60 000-R70 000
10%
8%
R70 000-R80 000
9%
11%
R80 000-R90 000
10%
10%
R90 000-R100 000
11%
10%
R100 000-R110 000
10%
10%
R110 000-R120 000
7%
7%
R120 000-R130 000
9%
12%
Over R130 000
17%
17%

A total of 46% paid R100 000 or more for their bicycle. That’s slightly up from 43% in 2017. Of the total entrants, 54% bought a new bike in the 12 months leading up to the Cape Epic. The split in this number (54%) is 23% South African, 31% International.

Photo: @gustavklotz

New bike purchase in previous 12 months

2015
2016
2017
2018
65%
59%
52%
54%

Most popular brands – history

Specialized
SCOTT
Cannondale
TREK
Giant
Santa Cruz
BMC
Merida
Rocky Mountain
Momsen
Silverback
Pyga
2008 SA
17%
8%
5%
4%
24%
3%
2%
2008 Total
17%
10%
5%
4%
18%
2%
1%
2009 SA
18%
12%
4%
3%
20%
2%
1%
9%
1%
2009 Total
18%
12%
6%
4%
15%
2%
1%
8%
1%
2010 SA
19%
8%
4%
5%
17%
3%
0%
10%
1%
2010 Total
19%
10%
6%
5%
12%
3%
1%
8%
1%
2011 SA
17%
11%
5%
6%
16%
3%
1%
10%
0%
2011 Total
18%
11%
6%
7%
11%
3%
1%
8%
1%
2012 SA
21%
12%
7%
6%
11%
5%
1%
6%
1%
2012 Total
23%
11%
7%
7%
13%
5%
1%
5%
1%
2013 SA
23%
12%
7%
8%
13%
5%
1%
4%
1%
2013 Total
23%
11%
7%
7%
11%
5%
1%
5%
1%
2014 SA
30%
17%
10%
6%
7%
3%
1%
5%
2%
4%
2014 Total
29%
15%
10%
5%
6%
4%
3%
4%
2%
3%
2015 SA
40%
14%
7%
3%
6%
6%
2%
3%
3%
3%
2015 Total
36%
14%
9%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2016 SA
35%
12%
11%
3%
5%
7%
3%
1%
3%
4%
2016 Total
36%
12%
10%
4%
4%
5%
3%
1%
2%
3%
2017 SA
33%
12%
13%
5%
4%
7%
3%
3%
3%
1%
1%
2017 Total
32%
14%
12%
6%
4%
4%
3%
2%
2%
<1%
<1%
2018 SA
33%
14%
14%
6%
4%
4%
2%
3%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2018 Total
33%
15%
12%
6%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
2%

It’s remarkable how successful Specialized has become as the most popular bike brand at the Cape Epic. Perhaps more impressive is how it’s remained there with such consistency. From 2010, Specialized has topped the South African and Total rankings, reaching its peak at 40% and 36% respectively in 2015.

SCOTT and Cannondale comfortably continue to hold second and third spots respectively, but are well behind Specialized in terms of market share within the Cape Epic.

After initially being the dominant brand in 2008 and 2009, Giant has seen a steady decline to just 2% of the total in 2018. This is surely due to the brand not committing fully to 29-inch wheels until last year when it launched its new Anthem. Giant currently shares a minority percentage with other long-term top-10 international brands, BMC, Rocky Mountain, Merida and Santa Cruz, while TREK holds firm to fourth place on 6%.

South African brands, Pyga, Momsen and Silverback make up 5% between them.

From a South African participant perspective, Cannondale has enjoyed a steady climb from 7% to 14% over the past three years, while SCOTT and TREK have seen small increases too.

Most popular last five years (total)

2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Specialized
29%
Specialized
36%
Specialized
36%
Specialized
32%
Specialized
33%
SCOTT
15%
SCOTT
13%
SCOTT
12%
SCOTT
14%
SCOTT
15%
Cannondale
10%
Cannondale
9%
Cannondale
10%
Cannondale
12%
Cannondale
12%
Giant
6%
TREK
4%
Santa Cruz
5%
TREK
6%
TREK
6%
TREK
5%
Santa Cruz
4%
TREK
4%
Santa Cruz
4%
Santa Cruz
3%
Santa Cruz
4%
Giant
4%
Giant
4%
Giant
4%
Giant
3%
Merida
4%
Merida
3%
BMC
3%
BMC
3%
BMC
2%
BMC
3%
BMC
3%
Momsen
3%
Rocky Mountain
2%
Rocky Mountain
2%
Rocky Mountain
2%
Rocky Mountain
2%
Rocky Mountain
2%
Merida
2%
Merida
2%
Momsen
2%
Merida
1%
Cube
1%
Pyga
2%
Bianchi
1%
Momsen
2%
Silverback
1%
Cube
1%
Bianchi
1%
Other
15%

Hardtail vs Full suspension

2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
Hardtail
30%
26%
23%
20%
22%
31%
24%
21%
14%
7%
10%
6%
Full sus
69%
74%
77%
80%
77%
69%
75%
79%
85%
93%
90%
94%

It’s now rare to tackle the Absa Cape Epic on a hardtail, but it’s interesting to see that the full-sus trend dipped in 2011/2012 (when 29er wheels first became mainstream) and again last year, the reason for which we aren’t quite sure…

Wheel size

2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017/2018
26 inch
78%
36%
17%
8%
6%
5.3%
No data
29 inch
22%
64%
82%
90%
91%
92%
No data
27.5 inch (650b)
0%
0%
1%
2%
3%
2.4%
No data
Fat bike
0.3%
No data

The Cape Epic asked about wheel size from 2011 until 2016. They decided that since most ride with 29-inch wheels, it wasn’t worth asking any more. For the record, here’s the data.

Jaroslav Kulhavý’s Absa Cape Epic winning bike features a large frame size and the distinction of having spent more time at the front of the 2018 Epic field than any other machine. Photo by Michal Červený.

Bike brands of final GC top 10 2018:

1st Specialized (2 stage wins)

2nd Canyon (1 stage win)

3rd Cannondale (2 stage wins)

4th SCOTT

5th Centurion (2 stage wins)

6th TREK (1 stage win)

7th Bulls

8th Bianchi

9th SCOTT

10th Bulls

BIKES OF THE 2018 ABSA CAPE EPIC – ALL THE STATS Reviewed by on .   The Absa Cape Epic is seen globally as the ultimate test in mountain bike stage racing. A combination of the world’s best racers, the potential for extre   The Absa Cape Epic is seen globally as the ultimate test in mountain bike stage racing. A combination of the world’s best racers, the potential for extre Rating: 0

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